WSAW - Blogs - Jeremy Tabin

Turning Warmer Late Week

This past October certainly was not one for the warm weather fans.  In all, there were only 4 days when high temperatures climbed above what is considered to be average.  Of those, we did get the warmest days of 64 degrees on October 19th and 30th.  In all, for Wausau last month went down as the 8th chilliest and 8th wettest October on record.   Considering highs overall were just over 8.5 degrees below normal, it makes you wonder what the coldest one on record would have been like?  Safe to say, it probably had more than the 1.4" of snow that fell this go around.  For a complete breakdown of how the month ranked for other locales in our area, check out the NWS Green Bay.

No less, let's look ahead to what's in store for later this week.  A ridge of high pressure that has been stationed out in the Rockies and desert Southwest is expected to slide into the mid-section of the country by Friday.  The clockwise flow around this high will turn winds toward the south and should usher in milder air to the Wisconsin River Valley.  This could lead to daytime highs from Friday through the weekend that top out well into the 50s if not lower to mid 60s.  Before you break out the shorts and perhaps gear up to hop on the motorcycle, there are a few small caveats to this forecast.  The first is that morning clouds or fog may cut into how warm it gets.  Considering it is mid to late fall, with 14 hours of darkness, temperatures are ripe to fall to the dew point during the morning hours, leading to a mild but gray start.  Also you have to factor in the sun angle getting lower in the sky, meaning that it is a bit more challenging for the sunshine to heat up the ground in early November that it was back in early October.  No less, we have had our share of warm days in the 2nd to last month of the year.

Just last year the first 6 days of the month had highs of 50 degrees or higher, including two days that the mercury climbed all the way to 70.  Rewinding to November 2006, that first weekend of the month also featured a delightful stretch where highs were in the 50s or 60s, but also a couple foggy mornings, along with scattered showers.  Not to be left out 8 years ago in 2001, a similar story with the 1st week having highs anywhere from 5 to 15 degrees above average.  So at least for this decade a little less than half of the Novembers had some comfortable weather.  Of course as you may know, as November goes along, many times those shots of colder air become more frequent.  Climatologically speaking, by the end of the month, average highs are only in the mid 30s.

So the moral here is to enjoy this last vestige of warmth because we may not experience it again until some time next April or May.

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