May 2006 vs. May 2010

While helping our own Heather Poltrock with some weather information today, we started looking into what happened in May 2006.

May 2006:

We had light snow May 11, May 12 of that year.

We also had our first 90 degree days of the year, which occurred May 28 and May 29.

 

May 2010

We had snow May 7 and May 8.

We will more than likely have our first 90 degree day today... have will be close to 90 tomorrow. (reached 87 on Sunday).

 

Other monthly data looks very similar as well. Now, sometimes weather patterns can mimic one another, while other times they do not. Having said that, if we mimic 2006's summer, here's what we could expect:

Seasonal weather in June, and still a bit dry for the month.

Hot weather in July, with very little rainfall. (2006- HOT; there were 9 90 degree days that month with 3 records set.  In adddition, we had roughtly 50% of normal rainfall for that month)

Warm and a relatively wet August. (2006- Avg. temps were almost 10 degrees above normal.  Almost double the normal precipitation for the month)

 

Now, having said that, the official outlook from the Climate Prediction Center actually calls for below normal temperatures in our area, with equal chances for rainfall. As it stands right now, we are seeing just a small La Nina develop in the Pacific Ocean, which is also similar to early 2006.  So, does that mean we'll see a repeat of 2006's summer with record heat and dry weather?  Only time will tell... there is one thing that seems certain at this point for the foreseeable future, it looks very dry, which is something that has plagued Wisconsin several times in the last 5 years. Hopefully, we'll get a better chance for some soaking rainfalls in the next few weeks.

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